Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.009561 0.011342 0.013506 0.016378 0.020163 0.025095 0.032205
2025-08-10 0.007089 0.009068 0.011755 0.015818 0.022101 0.032024 0.050325
2025-08-17 0.005662 0.007569 0.010336 0.014883 0.022715 0.036977 0.069229
2025-08-24 0.004769 0.006580 0.009338 0.014164 0.023225 0.041845 0.092836
2025-08-31 0.004320 0.006145 0.009061 0.014498 0.025683 0.052026 0.143803
2025-09-07 0.003848 0.005591 0.008470 0.014092 0.026480 0.059017 0.199655
2025-09-14 0.003441 0.005083 0.007865 0.013503 0.026649 0.064583 0.266231
2025-09-21 0.003185 0.004789 0.007586 0.013492 0.028184 0.075694 0.410583
2025-09-28 0.003045 0.004671 0.007602 0.014098 0.031591 0.097178 0.812914
2025-10-05 0.002988 0.004690 0.007875 0.015347 0.037520 0.138799 2.546771
2025-10-12 0.002862 0.004567 0.007849 0.015883 0.041621 0.180985 9.326807
2025-10-19 0.002693 0.004347 0.007593 0.015783 0.043527 0.215249 43.043526
2025-10-26 0.002532 0.004143 0.007378 0.015850 0.046635 0.275097 659678.497506
2025-11-02 0.002341 0.003867 0.006977 0.015331 0.047230 0.319098 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002147 0.003564 0.006481 0.014435 0.045733 0.337199 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001987 0.003318 0.006084 0.013746 0.044887 0.365374 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001911 0.003230 0.006029 0.014066 0.049240 0.513134 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001798 0.003059 0.005764 0.013676 0.049723 0.600837 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001686 0.002880 0.005462 0.013112 0.048951 0.660394 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001615 0.002780 0.005337 0.013100 0.051490 0.875375 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001580 0.002755 0.005386 0.013683 0.058423 1.530889 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001575 0.002790 0.005590 0.014880 0.071535 4.219135 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001537 0.002752 0.005603 0.015394 0.080522 10.740228 NaN